CLEVELAND, Ohio - Ohio has moved closer toward reaching Gov. Mike DeWine’s test before he will lift state health orders, but remains well short of the governor’s threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 residents over the last two weeks.

Cleveland.com estimates the state will report in its weekly update Thursday afternoon a rate close to 144 cases per 100,000 residents.

This would be an improvement over 155 cases per 100,000 reported last week, and the 179 cases per 100,000 reported two weeks ago when DeWine announced his plans on lifting the health orders.

The official number released by the state likely will differ some from the cleveland.com estimate, mainly because it’s unknown how many of the new cases involve incarcerated people. Two weeks ago, the state removed about 100 cases from its calculations because of this, a health department spokeswoman said.

These rates are not based on the daily reports of new cases, but rather cases in which symptoms are known to have begun in the last two weeks.

Ohio was last below the 50 cases per 100,000 over two weeks in June and was as high as 845.5 cases in December, according to this measure, the Ohio Department of Health has reported.

Ohio case rate trend for COVID-19

The Ohio Department of Health a week ago reported 155 coronavirus cases per 100,000 residents with an onset of symptoms in the previous two weeks, down from a high of 845.5 in mid-December. This rate excludes cases involving incarcerated individuals.Ohio Department of Health

County rates

Here are the rates by county. These rates include incarcerated individuals.

County Known cases
with onset
last 2 weeks
Rate
per 100,000
residents
Adams 26 93.9
Allen 69 67.4
Ashland 104 194.5
Ashtabula 93 95.6
Athens 70 107.2
Auglaize 22 48.2
Belmont 89 132.8
Brown 45 103.6
Butler 593 154.8
Carroll 17 63.2
Champaign 88 226.3
Clark 273 203.6
Clermont 289 140.0
Clinton 83 197.8
Columbiana 102 100.1
Coshocton 57 155.7
Crawford 90 216.9
Cuyahoga 2,001 162.0
Darke 41 80.2
Defiance 51 133.9
Delaware 368 175.9
Erie 102 137.3
Fairfield 233 147.9
Fayette 20 70.1
Franklin 2,161 164.1
Fulton 46 109.2
Gallia 19 63.5
Geauga 115 122.8
Greene 170 100.6
Guernsey 47 120.9
Hamilton 1,116 136.5
Hancock 92 121.4
Hardin 50 159.4
Harrison 8 53.2
Henry 38 140.7
Highland 68 157.5
Hocking 42 148.6
Holmes 33 75.1
Huron 108 185.4
Jackson 30 92.6
Jefferson 70 107.2
Knox 54 86.6
Lake 344 149.5
Lawrence 63 105.9
Licking 281 158.9
Logan 48 105.1
Lorain 447 144.3
Lucas 732 170.9
Madison 59 131.9
Mahoning 243 106.3
Marion 94 144.4
Medina 377 209.7
Meigs 5 21.8
Mercer 17 41.3
Miami 108 100.9
Monroe 40 293.0
Montgomery 516 97.0
Morgan 9 62.0
Morrow 32 90.6
Muskingum 117 135.7
Noble 9 62.4
Ottawa 42 103.6
Paulding 31 166.0
Perry 46 127.3
Pickaway 106 181.3
Pike 34 122.4
Portage 267 164.3
Preble 33 80.7
Putnam 30 88.6
Richland 163 134.5
Ross 93 121.3
Sandusky 74 126.5
Scioto 109 144.7
Seneca 112 203.0
Shelby 22 45.3
Stark 473 127.6
Summit 1,106 204.4
Trumbull 252 127.3
Tuscarawas 88 95.7
Union 113 191.6
Van Wert 18 63.7
Vinton 6 45.9
Warren 347 147.9
Washington 115 192.0
Wayne 157 135.7
Williams 30 81.8
Wood 254 194.2
Wyandot 42 192.9

Rich Exner, data analysis editor for cleveland.com, writes about numbers on a variety of topics. Follow on Twitter @RichExner. See other data-related stories at cleveland.com/datacentral.

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